Polygenic Risk Score Predicts Earlier-Onset Adult Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and First-Year Renal Diseases in a Taiwanese Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop a predictive model using polygenic risk score (PRS) to forecast renal outcomes for adult systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in a Taiwanese population. METHODS: Patients with SLE (n=2782) and matched non-SLE controls (n=11 128) were genotyped using Genome-Wide TWB 2.0 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) array. PRS models (C+T, LDpred2, Lassosum, PRSice-2, PRS-continuous shrinkage (CS)) were constructed for predicting SLE susceptibility. Logistic regression was assessed for C+T-based PRS association with renal involvement in patients with SLE. RESULTS: In the training set, C+T-based SLE-PRS, only incorporating 27 SNPs, outperformed other models with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.629, surpassing Lassosum (AUC=0.621), PRSice-2 (AUC=0.615), LDpred2 (AUC=0.609) and PRS-CS (AUC=0.602). Additionally, C+T-based SLE-PRS demonstrated consistent predictive capacity in the testing set (AUC=0.620). Individuals in the highest quartile exhibited earlier SLE onset (39.06 vs 44.22 years, p<0.01), higher Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index scores (3.00 vs 2.37, p=0.04), elevated risks of renal involvement within the first year of SLE diagnosis, including WHO class III-IV lupus nephritis (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.47 to 3.80, p<0.01), estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73m2 (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.89, p<0.01) and urine protein-to-creatinine ratio >150 mg/day (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.49 to 2.89, p<0.01), along with increased seropositivity risks, compared with those in the lowest quartile. Furthermore, among patients with SLE with onset before 50 years, the highest PRS quartile was significantly associated with more serious renal diseases within the first year of SLE diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: PRS of SLE is associated with earlier onset, renal involvement within the first year of SLE diagnosis and seropositivity in Taiwanese patients. Integrating PRS with clinical decision-making may enhance lupus nephritis screening and early treatment to improve renal outcomes in patients with SLE.

Phase 1 Trial of the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Antiviral Activity of EDP-514 in Untreated Viremic Chronic Hepatitis B Patients.

Background & Aims: Oral EDP-514 is a potent core protein inhibitor of hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication, which produced a >4-log viral load reduction in HBV-infected chimeric mice with human liver cells. This study evaluated the safety, pharmacokinetics (PK), and antiviral activity of three doses of EDP-514 in treatment naïve viremic patients with HBeAg-positive or -negative chronic HBV infection. Methods: Patients with HBsAg detectable at screening and at least 6 months previously were eligible. HBeAg-positive and -negative patients had a serum/plasma HBV DNA level ≥20,000 and ≥2,000 IU/mL, respectively. Twenty-five patients were randomized to EDP-514 200 (n=6), 400 (n=6) or 800 mg (n=7) or placebo (n=6) once daily for 28 days. Results: A dose-related increase in EDP-514 exposure (AUClast and Cmax) was observed across doses. At Day 28, mean reductions in HBV DNA were 2.9, 3.3, 3.5 and 0.2 log10 IU/mL with EDP-514 200 mg, 400 mg, 800 mg, and placebo groups, respectively. The corresponding mean change from baseline for HBV RNA levels was 2.9, 2.4, 2.0, and 0.02 log10 U/mL. No virologic failures were observed. No clinically meaningful changes from baseline were observed for HBsAg, HBeAg or HBcrAg. Nine patients reported treatment emergent adverse events (TEAEs) of mild or moderate severity with no discontinuations, serious AEs or deaths. Conclusions: In treatment-naïve viremic patients, oral EDP-514 was generally safe and well-tolerated, displayed PK profile supportive of once-daily dosing, and markedly reduced HBV DNA and HBV RNA.

Limited Sustained Remission After Nucleos(t)ide Analog Withdrawal: Results From a Large, Global, Multiethnic Cohort of Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B (RETRACT-B Study).

INTRODUCTION: Complete viral suppression with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) has led to a profound reduction in hepatocellular carcinoma and mortality among patients with chronic hepatitis B. Finite therapy yields higher rates of functional cure; however, initial hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevations are almost certain after treatment interruption. We aimed to analyze off-treatment outcomes beyond 12 months after NA cessation. METHODS: Patients with well-suppressed chronic hepatitis B who were hepatitis B e antigen-negative at NA cessation and remained off treatment without hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss at 12 months were included (n = 945). HBV DNA and ALT fluctuations were allowed within the first 12 months. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to analyze outcomes beyond 12 months. Sustained remission was defined as HBV DNA <2,000 IU/mL and ALT <2× upper limit of normal (ULN) and an ALT flare as ALT ≥5× ULN. RESULTS: Cumulative probability of sustained remission was 29.7%, virological relapse was 65.2% with a mean peak HBV DNA of 5.0 ± 1.5 log 10 IU/mL, an ALT flare was 15.6% with a median peak ALT × ULN of 8.3 (5.7-11.3), HBsAg loss was 9.9% and retreatment was 34.9% at 48 months after NA cessation. A single occurrence of virological relapse or an ALT flare within the first 12 months off-treatment were associated with significantly lower rates of sustained remission beyond 12 months. DISCUSSION: Despite allowing for HBV DNA and ALT fluctuations within the first 12 months off-treatment, most patients without HBsAg loss did not maintain a sustained response thereafter. The best candidates for NA withdrawal are patients with low HBsAg levels at NA cessation, and those without profound or recurrent virological and biochemical relapses in the first off-treatment year.

Persistently high HBsAg levels during HBeAg-seropositive stage predict lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND: High hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) level predicts hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with low viral load. The role of longitudinal HBsAg levels in predicting HCC in HBeAg-positive CHB patients remains unknown. METHOD: HBeAg-positive CHB participants from the REVEAL-HBV cohort with ≥2 HBsAg measurements before HBeAg seroclearance were enrolled. Group-based trajectory modelling identified distinct HBsAg trajectory groups during a median of 11 years of HBeAg-positive status. Cox regression models were applied for investigating independent predictors of HCC and estimating adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). A p-value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: A total of 319 patients were enrolled and classified by HBsAg trajectory patterns as (A) persistently high group (n = 72): HBsAg persistently ≥104 IU/mL, and (B) non-stationary group (n = 233): low HBsAg at baseline or declining to <104 IU/mL during the follow-up. Group B had higher proportions of abnormal ALT levels, HBV genotype C and basal core mutation than group A (p < 0.05); age at entry and gender were comparable. The annual incidence of HCC in group A and group B were 0.37% and 1.16%, respectively (p = 0.03). In multivariate analysis, age >40 years (HRadj [95% CI] = 4.11 [2.26-7.48]), genotype C (HRadj [95% CI] = 4.39 [1.96-9.81]) and the non-stationary group (HRadj [95% CI] = 3.50 [1.49-8.21]) were independent predictors of HCC. Basal core promoter mutation was the only risk factor of HCC in the persistently high HBsAg group (HRadj [95% CI] = 32.75 [5.41-198.42]). CONCLUSION: Patients with persistently high HBsAg levels during HBeAg-seropositive stage represent a unique population with low risk of HCC development.

Subsequent locoregional therapy prolongs survival in progressive hepatocellular carcinoma patients under lenvatinib treatment.

BACKGROUND: Locoregional therapy and multi-kinase inhibitor agent have been the backbone of treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, the effect of combination or sequential use of locoregional therapy on HCC patients receiving multi-kinase inhibitor remain uncertain. Therefore, we aim to explore whether the subsequent locoregional therapy provides better survival in HCC patients under lenvatinib treatment. METHODS: From March 2018 to April 2020, a total of 78 unresectable HCC patients receiving lenvatinib were recruited. Image response was evaluated by dynamic image using the modified RECIST criteria. Among patients with tumor progression under lenvatinib treatment, whether receiving subsequent locoregional therapy or not were documented. Overall survival between two groups and the predictors for tumor progression were also analyzed. RESULTS: Among the 78 patients receiving lenvatinib, the median age was 67.8 years old, and 69.2 % were male. Forty-four patients (56.4 %) experienced tumor progression with time to progression 5.1 months (95 % confidence interval (CI): 4.7-6.8) months. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade II (adjusted HR: 2.883, P = 0.0104), and treatment duration less than three months (adjusted HR: 3.801, P = 0.0014) were the independent predictive factors for tumor progression, while patients achieving objective response under lenvatinib treatment within 12 weeks was the independent protective factor for tumor progression (adjusted HR: 0.144, P = 0.0020). Among the 44 patients with tumor progression, twenty-six (59.1 %) patients received subsequent locoregional therapy after tumor progression. Comparing to those with tumor progression without locoregional treatment, patients who received subsequent locoregional therapy had significantly better survival (1st year cumulative survival rate 70 % vs 27 %, log-rank P = 0.003). CONCLUSION: ALBI grade, treatment duration of lenvatinib, and achieving objective image response within twelve weeks were the independent predictive factors for tumor progression. Furthermore, longer overall survival was observed in tumor progression patients with subsequent locoregional therapy and with better liver preserved function.

Higher end-of-treatment HBsAg levels is associated with later onset but not severe relapse in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients stopping antivirals.

BACKGROUND: Quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen (qHBsAg) level at end-of-treatment (EOT) predict clinical relapse (CR) after nucleos(t)ide analogues (Nuc) in chronic hepatitis B(CHB) patients. It is unclear if higher EOT qHBsAg leads to earlier onset or more severe off-Nuc CR. AIM: This large cohort study investigates the association between EOT qHBsAg and CR onset/severity. METHODS: This study enrolled HBeAg-negative CHB patients who had achieved undetectable HBV DNA for over 1 year after receiving Nuc therapy before discontinuation. The EOT qHBsAg level was categorised into three groups: <100, 100-999, ≥1000 IU/mL. The study assessed the predictability of qHBsAg levels for CR, and analysed and compared the incidence, time to onset and severity of CR among these three groups. RESULTS: Patients with higher EOT qHBsAg showed a higher incidence of CR (≥1000, 100-999, <100 IU/mL: 73%, 65%, and 38%, p < 0.01) but a later onset of CR (median time to CR: 35, 33 and 27 weeks, p < 0.01). The predictabilities of EOT qHBsAg for CR were greater in patients aged <50-year-old or with genotype C than in those aged ≥50-year-old or with genotype B. There's no correlation between EOT qHBsAg level and ALT folds at CR (Pearson correlation coefficient: r = -0.03, p = 0.35). EOT qHBsAg was neither a predictor for severe hepatitis flare nor a predictor for hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: Predictability using EOT qHBsAg levels for CR differed in subgroups of age and genotypes. Higher EOT qHBsAg levels correlate with higher incidence but later onset of CR. No correlation between EOT qHBsAg and relapse severity was observed.

Hepatocellular carcinoma reduced, HBsAg loss increased, and survival improved after finite therapy in hepatitis B patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Long-term nucleos(t)ide analog (Nuc) treatment can reduce HCC in patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC). Earlier small cohort studies showed a comparable 5-year incidence of HCC in HBeAg-negative patients with HBV-LC who stopped and those continued Nuc therapy. This study aimed to validate these findings using a large cohort with 10-year follow-up. APPROACH AND RESULTS: From 2 centers, 494 HBeAg-negative patients with HBV-LC who stopped (finite group) and 593 who continued (continuous group) Nuc therapy were recruited. HCC, HBsAg loss, liver-related mortality/transplantation, and overall survival rates were compared between 2 groups with 1:1 propensity score matching of sex, treatment history, types of Nuc, age, transaminases, platelet count, and HBsAg levels at end of therapy in finite group or 3-year on-therapy in continuous groups. During a median follow-up of 6.2 (3.4-8.9) years, the annual and 10-year HCC incidence were lower in finite group (1.6 vs. 3.3%/y and 10-y 15.7% vs. 26.8%, respectively; log-rank test, p <0.0001). The finite group showed greater HBsAg decline/year (-0.116 vs. -0.095 log 10 IU/mL, p =0.0026) and 7.6 times higher 10-year incidence of HBsAg loss (22.7% vs. 3%, p <0.0001). Multivariate Cox regression showed finite therapy an independent factor for HBsAg loss (adjusted HR: 11.79) but protective against HCC (adjusted HR: 0.593), liver-related mortality/transplantation (adjusted HR: 0.312), and overall mortality (adjusted HR: 0.382). CONCLUSIONS: Finite Nuc therapy in HBeAg-negative HBV-LC may reduce HCC incidence, increase HBsAg loss, and improve survival. Greater HBsAg decline/loss may reflect enhanced immunity and contribute to the reduction of hepatic carcinogenesis.

Efficacy of a multidimensional self-management intervention on low-education women with metabolic syndrome: a cluster randomized controlled trial.

Low-education women, a substantially older population, are subject to increased risks of metabolic syndrome and consequent cardiometabolic diseases; early detection and effective management were urgently needed. Ninety-nine women with metabolic syndrome, age 61 and education ≤ 6 years, from four community units were randomly assigned to either a self-management intervention (n = 51) or a control arm (n = 48). The intervention consisted of five dimensions, physical activity and diet modifications (daily exercise classes and two nutrition courses), goal setting, coaching and peer support, problem-solving, and self-monitoring. The control arm received an education leaflet. Assessments were performed at baseline, six months, and 18 months. Compared with the control, the intervention participants improved the overall rate of meeting the recommended servings for six health foods, including vegetables, dairy products, and nuts (except whole grains, fruits, and protein); the rate of meeting regular leisure-time physical activity; and criteria biomarkers-waist circumference, fasting blood glucose, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (except blood pressure and triglycerides); as well as body weight and body mass index; consequently decreased the number of risk factors and rate of metabolic syndrome. In conclusion, the multidimensional self-management intervention improved physical activity, healthy eating, and metabolic syndrome risks among low-education women with metabolic syndrome.

Acoustic radiation force impulse predicts long-term outcomes in a large-scale cohort: High liver cancer, low comorbidity in hepatitis B virus.

BACKGROUND: Acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) is used to measure liver fibrosis and predict outcomes. The performance of elastography in assessment of fibrosis is poorer in hepatitis B virus (HBV) than in other etiologies of chronic liver disease. AIM: To evaluate the performance of ARFI in long-term outcome prediction among different etiologies of chronic liver disease. METHODS: Consecutive patients who received an ARFI study between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. After excluding dual infection, alcoholism, autoimmune hepatitis, and others with incomplete data, this retrospective cohort were divided into hepatitis B (HBV, n = 1064), hepatitis C (HCV, n = 507), and non-HBV, non-HCV (NBNC, n = 391) groups. The indexed cases were linked to cancer registration (1987-2020) and national mortality databases. The differences in morbidity and mortality among the groups were analyzed. RESULTS: At the enrollment, the HBV group showed more males (77.5%), a higher prevalence of pre-diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and a lower prevalence of comorbidities than the other groups (P < 0.001). The HCV group was older and had a lower platelet count and higher ARFI score than the other groups (P < 0.001). The NBNC group showed a higher body mass index and platelet count, a higher prevalence of pre-diagnosed non-HCC cancers (P < 0.001), especially breast cancer, and a lower prevalence of cirrhosis. Male gender, ARFI score, and HBV were independent predictors of HCC. The 5-year risk of HCC was 5.9% and 9.8% for those ARFI-graded with severe fibrosis and cirrhosis. ARFI alone had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.742 for prediction of HCC in 5 years. AUROC increased to 0.828 after adding etiology, gender, age, and platelet score. No difference was found in mortality rate among the groups. CONCLUSION: The HBV group showed a higher prevalence of HCC but lower comorbidity that made mortality similar among the groups. Those patients with ARFI-graded severe fibrosis or cirrhosis should receive regular surveillance.